remkin

Administrators
  • Content count

    13,550
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    32

About remkin

  • Rank
    Carolina Hurricanes Admin

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Not Telling

Recent Profile Visitors

3,737 profile views
  1. remkin

    FA-RFA-Trades

    I think that the "flat out mail it in thing" was pretty rare, though present a few times. I get that Skinner has not had great linemates. But that has been a chronic thing for him and his very unconventional style just about forever. There seems to be a bit of a chicken and egg thing there too. Is it Skinner's odd style combined with intermittently bad passing and on again off again back checking that leads to him being moved down, or the coach demoting him to weak linemates causing his drop in both production and defense? My theory, and it's just one guy's amateur theory, is that when he is feeling his game he's engaged just a touch more. He gets just a foot closer to the net. He gets his stick on that pass back checking. I base this in part on the way he played post concussion. Just a bit timid to get to the net, a bit less engaged. And a dropoff in points and defense followed. When he's full on engaged, that small 10% extra push is all of the difference. As to whether all of this stuff that went down last year affected him and the team off the ice and in the room, it's speculation, but it seems there's something to the idea. When the braintrust says things like "too soft" "too easy to play against", and "some guys have spent their whole careers on losing teams" and tying that to culture, are we not picturing headshots of Faulk and Skinner? There was clearly a disconnect between him and Peters and it showed. I'm mostly trying to argue for not trading him, but his net contribution has to be closer to that of 2016-17 Skinner than last year's version to really make the case.
  2. remkin

    FA-RFA-Trades

    I guess I keep coming back to which Skinner we get. The Skinner of last year would not fit and frankly would not be hard to improve on considering both ends of the ice. The Skinner of two years ago was #6 in the NHL in goals, despite being an awkward fit as anyone's ideal linemate. I'm mostly starting to become resigned to him being gone, I just hope we get a guy we need back.
  3. remkin

    FA-RFA-Trades

    That's exactly whats been knocking around in my head too Kjun. How much of whatever legit negativity is in the air included Brind'Amour and if so, can that be patched up or not. If it was mostly how he was used on the ice, and any lingering issues about the whole captaincy thing, and deterioration in the personal relationship with Peters, and less targeted through Brind'Amour, maybe it can be fixed. Now I'm assuming that based on reading the tea leaves of what McKenzie put out there and Skinner hiring a new agent, that all is not well in that regard. That is, perhaps Brind'Amour, based on Skinner's issues last year, actually prefers him gone. In that case, he's probably gone and we just hope the return is not too bad. But my hope would be the opposite, that BrindAmour could unlock the old Skinner and put him back on track. I tend to look at these things almost entirely in terms of the team on the ice, less than the payroll. I get that is not totally correct, but we have so dang much cap space, that I just want the best team out there, and let the owner worry about paying them. If he builds it they will come fill up the arena. We did it before and there are far more people in Raleigh than before. I break Skinner into two categories: How good will he be? And Return on Trade. The Skinner of last season can be traded for a 50 point 17 goal guy that hits and is at least a relatively even player, and we'd be fine. The Skinner of two years ago, though was #6 in the NHL in goals for crying out loud. Tale of two players, two very different players with the same name. The Skinner of two years ago, potting goals within a line up including Necas, Svech, Aho, TT, Jordan, Williams, Lindholm, etc could just be the turbo charge we need. AND if we re-sign that guy with the mutual idea that it is possible we may need to trade him, the return shoots up. I think he ends up getting traded. Hopefully we could work a deal for RNH? Neiterieter, maybe even Pacioretty or ROR. or a Hoffman and we'd be absolutely fine, even if we threw in prospects and or picks. RNH doesn't give us the physical edge, but he had a really good year last year, and physical or not, the guy was plus 10 good for #2 forward after Conner McDavid. It comes down to return but if he wants out, and if we can sweeten the pot and get back a better two way player, it will be too hard to pass up. I just hope we're talking about ways to get a guy who is not a huge dropoff from the type of firepower we're starting to put together.
  4. remkin

    Off-Season 2018

    With all the deserved excitement about getting the #2 pick and hopefully Svechnikov, it might be a bit distracting from what would have been the big ticket prospect arrival, Martin Necas. I maintain that he is going to be very hard to keep off next year's team, and I'd predict he not only makes it, but provides a lot of smiles in the PNC this year. If you want to get a little more pumped about that check this piece out: https://www.nhl.com/news/carolina-prospect-martin-necas-close-to-making-nhl-roster/c-298697840 I really think that Svech/Necas and Aho/TT are 4 potential future All Stars. One thing the Canes could do this year if they do trade Skinner is go young. Zykov and Foegele are NHL ready right now. IMO, so are Svech and Necas. Part of me just wonders what a re tooled Skinner might be able to add to that though....
  5. remkin

    FA-RFA-Trades

    Yeah, you have to spend money to make money, right? The point about Duchene was that from the GM's point of view, no one offered decent return for him, and Sakic didn't want to let him go for low return and it got ugly in Colorado. We are potentially in a similar situation if the rest of the GM's smell a chance to highjack our situation offer bad return, especially given our, uh untraditional, new to hockey, new owner. This could go both ways on that exact issue. We have Skinner this year. That is a year for him to prove it and us to decide what to do with him. It is also a year for Dundon to see if attendance might build. I get the argument in favor, and heck McKenzie has him practically gone, so what do I know? I just hate selling low, and Skinner, freed of Peters, just might bounce back, and a Skinner bounce back is good for 40 goals. That is worth more than a small return. That could equal playoffs this year. That alone is worth more than a low level return now. Even if Skinner just rode out this year, I'd take his 30+ goals in a year that Svech and Necas are rookies. I'd rather have one year of good Skinner and playoffs than trading him now for anything short of a return that is at least fair for some average of last year and the previous year. If Skinner does bounce back he might want to stay, and at least we could see what options we have. Did we drop Rask? Did we fill the house as the season went on? Did one of our yutes not named Necas or Svechnikov break out? Again, if we package Skinner and say Roy and maybe a second rounder and....for ROR. Sure. If we can do that without giving up Foegele or Necas or Svech or Bean? OK. I'm just assuming that is hard to pull off.
  6. Those guys don't seem to want to join our committee. But in all seriousness, I am much more excited about this guy than Dudley. He is behind some interesting new stats. I'm hoping that Dudley is there more to smooth things out with some old boy connections and not actually making any decisions. I guess with Dudley and this guy you get some real variation in perspective though, which may be what Dundon is going for. That said, I totally get your point about getting some input from someone with proven success.
  7. remkin

    FA-RFA-Trades

    I'll be honest, I haven't done a long term cap analysis. The cap is going up. And at the risk of previewing my new Island, winning that #2 pick, with Necas coming in and our Finns on the rise has me thinking that ticket sales are going to start to pick up and playoffs might bring some cash in too. Maybe we can get closer to the cap than we are thinking. The question is whether Skinner would re-sign, and whether there could be some sort of frank discussion about him being open to trade if things just don't work out. Perhaps the team could take a similar position. We have plenty of cap space at the moment and I think in the near future. If we find some place for Rask to go, that would help too. Year after this one Williams comes off too. My fear is value. Skinner could quickly become a version of Matt Duchene, but with even less contract left. It is now out there that we are trying to move him and even implied that he might want out (new agent). This is not an ideal seller's position. Then add in that ugly plus-minus, whatever rumors are there about off ice stuff, an off year, and again, only one year left on his deal.....I can't imagine that we would actually get offered ROR for him. I guess, as usual, it all comes down to things we will at best get rumor of: what are the offers?
  8. remkin

    FA-RFA-Trades

    I think that salary a very fair point. One thing is that this is a contract year, so the flipside of trading him is that motivation to prove his worth. The other thing is some sort of understanding or modification of his NTC to go with the deal. If worse comes to worse, we can try to unload that contract so long has he doesn't utterly collapse. I do think it's always a tricky thing with a guy in his last year pre UFA. But Patrick O Sullivan pointed out yestertday (about a different player) that the team does have until next June to finally decide things. True his value if he walks is next to nill, but at least you get that contract year, and a chance to see if he bounces back. I just wonder what kind of offers we're getting and will our new group pounce on a low return. Hopefully the actual offers are better than the blogger bozo's are offering.
  9. remkin

    Dundon in Charge

    Sounds a lot like what I'm talking about. May even be the exact company. If so, very good move long term IMHO.
  10. remkin

    FA-RFA-Trades

    This article pretty much sums up GM remkin's thoughts about trading Skinner now: https://www.yahoo.com/sports/trading-jeff-skinner-likely-haunt-232101291.html Bottom line, don't do it. My exceptions would be if it brought back a serious forward, or if Skinner wants out with intensity. I've seen ROR for Skinner straight up, and in that case I might bite, but if Rod can get Skinner back on board and find him some good linemates everything can turn back to 40 goal Skinner, sniping next to our new young talent. If he turns it around even a little and we re-sign him, he could be traded for more later if it came to that. The problem, as always w/ trades is value. How do we get full value after the year he had (including the plus/minus) and only one year left on his deal? And Waddell and a few friends on the committe just got the keys to the Ferrari, maybe he should take a few practice laps before this type of deal.
  11. remkin

    Dundon in Charge

    I am far from an expert on this. I'm basing my thoughts on an interview I heard with someone from a company that collects this data and sells it to NHL teams. I don't know the details, but I think they use mostly game video and people with a DVR just watching and recording things that affect play. I don't know exactly, but I think it's more about documenting "significant plays". They are not doing plus-minus necessarily keeping track of everyone on the ice, but keep track of good plays and bad plays whether they immediately lead to points or not. They are finding guys that make high impact plays either good or bad. An example would be a certain D man gets out of position then gets beaten like a rented mule, resulting in a grade A chance, but the goalie makes a highlight reel save, so no points and no affect on plus minus. This company dings that D man big time where as traditional stats completely let it go. If a player has a great goalie or keeps getting bailed out by a strong D man or back checking center, these guys would still catch it and mark him down much more than his actual plus-minus. And similar examples all over the ice both good and bad. I could be wrong, but I'm thinking 95% or more of those plays are right there on camera. Need to create the system of what categories and how to rate them, and that part is probably tricky, and then need to validate that there is some correlation with points, but the actual sitting there rewinding and re watching and jotting things down is pretty low tech. But that sort of information could reveal guys who are better or worse than their numbers reflect. A guy who might break out, or a guy to avoid that is likely overrated.
  12. remkin

    2018 NHL Draft

    yeah pepcane, Elynuik might have looked at all the prospects ahead of him and said, "woah, I'd be better off trying my luck somewhere else".
  13. remkin

    2018 NHL Draft

    Ah, yes, if it's his idea that would change things.
  14. remkin

    2018 NHL Draft

    i thought Elynuik had some upside. Big and had some speed. I guess he just didn't progress. Only so many contracts and in a way it is a sign of how much deeper our prospects are now.
  15. remkin

    FA-RFA-Trades

    Hard to imagine signing Ryan or Stempniak.