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RNT82

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  1. D. C. radio this morning mentioning a little about Caps poor effort, but a lot about OV beating down Svech. I guess it's the only positive they can focus on.
  2. Hag, the regression line shows how tough a feat it was this year as well. The playoff line has been adjusted to the 98 points CBJ got, and the predicition line landed right at 94 points. So, in a "normal" year Canes would have comfortably been in. But, you can see that once they crawled their way back to playoff pace, they had to grind it out the last 15+ games to stay there.
  3. Sorry, I missed the post. I've been running the regression line all season, but didn't feel a need to post it. But since you asked... Points Pace: 98.64 Predicted Points Pace: 91.17 The regression line has steadily been moving up since the new year, and you can see how it's really been a tale of two seasons at that point (game 38).
  4. I like the Storm Surge. However, Don Cherry does not... https://sports.yahoo.com/cherry-hurricanes-jerks-way-celebrate-wins-015204921.html
  5. Hope this doesn't become a trap game. Full 60 effort.
  6. Great GDT! Let's take it to the Tavares-less Isles and start the season off right!
  7. Uni-Watch Hurricanes 3rd Jersey Paul Lukas from Uni-Watch likes the new unis.
  8. Just adding my final two cents before we watch other teams play for the cup. The playoff line ended up being 97 points (or +15), and as you can see below, we were never above that pace except for the first few games of the season. It was really a tale of two halves. We hit our peak after game 40 (against PIT) when we were at 46 points (+6 or 1.15 points/game). Then we only got 37 points over the final 42 games (-5 or 0.88 points/game) to settle at 83 points and +1 overall. Just my humble opinion, but I think we never recovered from losing at home against the Caps when they scored 2 goals in the final 4 minutes to win, including the game winner in the final second of the game (game 44).
  9. We went -1 for the last series, sit at +1 overall, and trail significantly to the current playoff mark of +9. Florida sits just outside at +8. 94 points may not be the mark this year, but now if we lose even 1 game in regulation or have 2 OTL's, we will not hit the 94 point mark. When this season ends, I'll post the actual playoff line to see where we actually stood throughout the year. Actual Points Pace: 83 Predicted Points Pace: 87
  10. We went horizontal this last series (1-4-2), and that's never good. At this point, if we lose more than 4 games in regulation, we will not be able to reach the 94 point line, and with every 2 OTL's that number shrinks by 1. However, and I'm sure Hag will point this out in his report, this is an odd year where currently +6 is in a playoff spot where it should be +9. We're not totally out of it, but if we continue our recent play, we won't have to worry about playoffs for long. Actual Points Pace: 85 Predicted Points Pace: 88
  11. As Hag said, +12 may not be the cut line this season. But, I'm still going to use +12 as the cutoff line, because I'm unsure where to move the playoff line honestly. Also, 94 points is usually the playoff line as has been mentioned. Anyway... Actual Points Pace: 89 Predicted Points Pace: 89
  12. Not much to add to Hag's post. We know what we need to do. Actual Points Pace: 87 Predicted Points Pace: 89 Edit: Figured out how to break up graph into 7 game series.
  13. We actually went above playoff pace TWICE this last series (after both PIT wins). We've got a few winnable games coming up before the all-star break, and then we start an 8-game homestand afterwards (and 11 of 14 at home through Feb). Long story short, we need to take advantage of this. Actual Points Pace: 90 Predicted Points pace: 90
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