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RNT82

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Everything posted by RNT82

  1. ECF and a Calder Cup. Not a bad year for the Canes organization. Congrats Checkers!
  2. Hag, the regression line shows how tough a feat it was this year as well. The playoff line has been adjusted to the 98 points CBJ got, and the predicition line landed right at 94 points. So, in a "normal" year Canes would have comfortably been in. But, you can see that once they crawled their way back to playoff pace, they had to grind it out the last 15+ games to stay there.
  3. Sorry, I missed the post. I've been running the regression line all season, but didn't feel a need to post it. But since you asked... Points Pace: 98.64 Predicted Points Pace: 91.17 The regression line has steadily been moving up since the new year, and you can see how it's really been a tale of two seasons at that point (game 38).
  4. I like the Storm Surge. However, Don Cherry does not... https://sports.yahoo.com/cherry-hurricanes-jerks-way-celebrate-wins-015204921.html
  5. Uni-Watch Hurricanes 3rd Jersey Paul Lukas from Uni-Watch likes the new unis.
  6. Just adding my final two cents before we watch other teams play for the cup. The playoff line ended up being 97 points (or +15), and as you can see below, we were never above that pace except for the first few games of the season. It was really a tale of two halves. We hit our peak after game 40 (against PIT) when we were at 46 points (+6 or 1.15 points/game). Then we only got 37 points over the final 42 games (-5 or 0.88 points/game) to settle at 83 points and +1 overall. Just my humble opinion, but I think we never recovered from losing at home against the Caps when they scored 2 goals in the final 4 minutes to win, including the game winner in the final second of the game (game 44).
  7. We went -1 for the last series, sit at +1 overall, and trail significantly to the current playoff mark of +9. Florida sits just outside at +8. 94 points may not be the mark this year, but now if we lose even 1 game in regulation or have 2 OTL's, we will not hit the 94 point mark. When this season ends, I'll post the actual playoff line to see where we actually stood throughout the year. Actual Points Pace: 83 Predicted Points Pace: 87
  8. We went horizontal this last series (1-4-2), and that's never good. At this point, if we lose more than 4 games in regulation, we will not be able to reach the 94 point line, and with every 2 OTL's that number shrinks by 1. However, and I'm sure Hag will point this out in his report, this is an odd year where currently +6 is in a playoff spot where it should be +9. We're not totally out of it, but if we continue our recent play, we won't have to worry about playoffs for long. Actual Points Pace: 85 Predicted Points Pace: 88
  9. As Hag said, +12 may not be the cut line this season. But, I'm still going to use +12 as the cutoff line, because I'm unsure where to move the playoff line honestly. Also, 94 points is usually the playoff line as has been mentioned. Anyway... Actual Points Pace: 89 Predicted Points Pace: 89
  10. Not much to add to Hag's post. We know what we need to do. Actual Points Pace: 87 Predicted Points Pace: 89 Edit: Figured out how to break up graph into 7 game series.
  11. We actually went above playoff pace TWICE this last series (after both PIT wins). We've got a few winnable games coming up before the all-star break, and then we start an 8-game homestand afterwards (and 11 of 14 at home through Feb). Long story short, we need to take advantage of this. Actual Points Pace: 90 Predicted Points pace: 90
  12. Wyshynski (now with ESPN) picked Hanifin. ESPN's 2018 All-Star Picks
  13. Should: Skinner or Aho Will: Faulk, because the Metro is loaded with forwards and he's been there before. Agree that if it IS a D man, Hanifin should go over Faulk.
  14. So, when we hit our next rough patch, do we slaughter a pig? KHL Club Slaughters Live Sheep Before Practice
  15. Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to all my fellow Caniacs! Just like Hag said, we've made up our lost ground. We're still not on playoff pace, but we're in a better position than we were after the last series. Actual Points Pace: 91 Predicted Points Pace: 87
  16. Just like Hag said, we've lost ground. As you can see, we're veering away from the playoff line. Since the last time we were above the playoff line (22 points in 19 games after beating the Islanders), we've gained only 7 points in the last 9 games. Actual Points Pace: 85 Predicted Points Pace: 87
  17. Not much to add to Hag's report. Missed opportunities, tough stretch of upcoming games, etc. But we did beat Smashville, so it's a good start to this series. Actual Points Pace: 89 Predicted Points Pace: 88
  18. I was away for a few days, so I couldn't post the update with Hag's post. So, I've included our latest games through Dallas into the equation. Good News - After a tough losing stretch, we've made our way back up and are very close to the playoff line. Bad News - The prediction model isn't taking much stock in our recent upswing. Of course, if we keep our winning ways, this line will shift up. Actual Points Pace: 92.25 Predicted Points Pace: 85.78
  19. We will need to go +2 to get back on pace, but a +1 would be okay. Obviously the TOR/STL back-to-back is going to be tough, and if we don't get any points there, we'll have to win at least 4 of the remaining 5 games to get to +2. Also, I wanted to add my own little playoff model, inspired by Hagmetrics, which you can see below. Simply put, as long as the blue dots stay above the playoff line, we're doing good. Without getting into the math, the prediction line is a prediction model based on current results, and taking into account the highs and lows of a season. I know we have a small sample size, but for example our actual points pace is 82, while our predicted pace is around 95 points. This of course will change as the season progresses.
  20. Hey guys. I've added the Las Vegas Golden Knights to the lineup, while also making updates to Buffalo, Detroit, and Florida. Hope y'all like it.
  21. RNT82

    New Sweaters

    Definitely an upgrade over the previous version. I wish the warning flags were a bit more pronounced, but at least they're back!
  22. Check out this prank the Canes pulled on Ryan Murphy... Ryan Murphy Prank Warning: NSFW language in video.
  23. Faulk and Jones are top 4 in metro in goals scored for defensemen, so I guess that's why thy were selected. I figured we'd see Skinner and Werenski though. And I think Cam Atkinson got a snub too.
  24. RNT82

    No Thirds!

    I don't see how the owners would be for that since, like has been said, it would limit merchandise sales. Our home uniform needs an overhaul anyway, and yes bring back the flags!
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