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hag65

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50 game report

 

              Overall      Trend (10 Game)       

Metropolitan

Washington    +22          +2

Pittsburgh    +17          +4

Islanders     +14          +0

Atlantic

Boston        +19          +2

Tampa Bay     +14          +6

Florida       +12          +6

Wildcard

Carolina      +11          +1

Columbus      +10          +6

 

Out

Philadelphia  +10          +1

Toronto       +8           +1

Buffalo       +2           +0

Rangers       +2           -2

Montreal      +1           -1

Ottawa        -6           -4

New Jersey    -7           -1

Detroit       -22          -3

 

By Trend: 

Killing it:    Tampa Bay +6, Florida +6, Columbus +6

Stinking up the joint Ottawa -4, Detroit -3, Rangers -2     

 

Summary: 

50 game goal is +10, Canes are +11,  1 win over pace.

Trend of +1 is behind pace, cushion from early season success has been eaten away.

The good news is the Canes do sit in a playoff spot with 32 games to go.

There is more to be done.

It looks like it has become a 10 team race for 8 slots, 6 teams realistically out.

3 teams can play .500 and will easily make it in (Washington, Boston and Pittsburgh)

This leaves 7 teams for 5 slots (ranging currently from +8 to +14).  It looks like 5th place or better in the Metro will make it in. 

The 6th place team in the metro could easily be better than the 3rd in the Atlantic and get screwed.  

 

Not so fun:

Canes are 71.7% to make the playoffs, BUT were 88.8% to make the playoffs a mere 5 games ago.  Ahhh, the Metro.  See also, Remkin banging his head against the wall icon.

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern.html 

 

Enjoy your All Star break, its a 32 game sprint when we resume.

Edited by hag65
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55 game report

 

              Overall      Trend (10 Game)       

Metropolitan

Washington    +21          +2

Pittsburgh    +19          +4

Islanders     +16          +2

Atlantic

Boston        +23          +4

Tampa Bay     +21          +7

Toronto       +10          +2

Wildcard

Columbus      +13          +6

Philadelphia  +13          +5

 

Out

Carolina      +12          +1

Florida       +9           +1

Rangers       +4           +2

Montreal      +3           +4

Buffalo        E           -1

New Jersey    -4           +1

Ottawa        -8           -2

Detroit       -25          -5

 

By Trend: 

Killing it:    Tampa Bay +7, Columbus +6, Philadelphia +5

Stinking up the joint Detroit -5, Ottawa -2, Buffalo -1     

 

Summary: 

55 game goal is +11, Canes are +12,  1 win over pace.

Canes out for the first report this season, even though it is one point out.

Trend of +1 is behind pace.  Extra disturbing with nearest competitors killing it.

It looks like it has become a 10 team race for 8 slots, 6 teams realistically out.

4 teams can play .500 and will easily make it in (Washington, Boston, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay)

This leaves 6 teams for 4 slots (ranging currently from +9 to +16).  It looks like 5th place or better in the Metro will make it in. 

The 6th place team in the metro could easily be better than the 3rd in the Atlantic and get screwed.

 

Not so fun:

Canes are 59.9% to make the playoffs, BUT were 88.8% to make the playoffs a mere 10 games ago.  Ahhh, the Metro.

In spite of the alarming trend, 97 points has more than a 70% chance of making the playoffs.  SOMEONE loses every game, it is impossible for no one to lose.  People need to be reminded every now and then, math always wins.   If the Canes continue the slow and steady they should be fine, but REALLY don't need a losing streak of any consequence from here on out now.

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern.html 

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65 game report

 

              Overall      Trend (10 Game)       

Metropolitan

Washington    +20          -2

Philadelphia  +20          +8

Pittsburgh    +18          -2

Atlantic

Boston        +30          +6

Tampa Bay     +22           0

Toronto       +11          +1

Wildcard

Islanders     +12          -4

Columbus      +11          -2

 

 

Out

Carolina      +10          -2

Rangers       +9           +2

Florida       +7           -2

Montreal      +2            0

Buffalo       -1           -2

New Jersey    -2           +2

Ottawa        -8           +1

Detroit       -33          -7

 

By Trend: 

Killing it:: Philadelphia +8, Boston +6

Collapse of the Metro:  Islanders -4, Washington -2, Pittsburgh -2, Columbus -2, Hurricanes -2

Stinking up the joint Detroit -7, Ottawa -2    

 

Summary: 

65 game goal is +13, Canes are +10,  3 wins below pace.

Total collapse of the Metro for the last 10 games makes it look not as bad for the Canes, BUT history tells you that teams will get HOT at the end.

Trend of -2 is far behind needed pace of +2.

It is still a 10 team race for 8 slots, 6 teams realistically out.

Canes MUST pull out of this tailspin and pronto.  All is not lost, they are ONE GAME OUT with MAGIC BEANS

1 point in 5 games does not cut it and makes this all feel futile, but they do look great at times.  5 games winless is the worst stretch this season.

 

More:

Canes are still 56.4% to make the playoffs.

Last report 97 points was 70% to make the playoffs. Now, 95 points (+13) is 63% to make the playoffs, all due to the Metro collapse.

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern.html 

How bad is Detroit at -33?  Not the worst.  The acknowledged worst team of all time was the 74-75 Washington Capitals who finished 8-67-5 (-59)  Detroit at 15 wins is a lock to at least double that win output.  Also check out their goal differential at -121, man oh man.

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