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AWACSooner

Offseason Talk 2019

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46 minutes ago, sleekfeeder said:

I mean, do you let Mraz go? He seems like a heart and soul guy, but it is a business after all. I personally think he's good enough. Not elite, but good enough. But, if you factor in all the games McE won for us, Ned probably won't do as well, then we probably don't make the playoffs. I'm not sure what to do here. Maybe one of them will make the decision for us. This is certainly the most critical and difficult decision of the offseason. 

There isnt a right answer.  

Tracking Petr's season:

October 7 starts, .888 sv %, GAA 2.58

November 1 start .84 sv%, 3.92

December 8 starts, .92 sv%, 2.43 (1 shutout)

January 7 starts, .875 sv%, 3.29 

February 7 starts .929 sv%,  1.90 GAA (2 shutouts)

March 8 starts, .931 sv%, 1.98 (1 shutout)

April 11 starts, .92 sv%, 2.03 (1 shutout)

May 2 starts, .806 sv%, 3.26 

 

Overall he had a rough January, his save percentage in October wasnt great, and he was hurt in November.  Take out January and his one start in November and he was tied 12th for SV% fro goalies starting over 20 games.  His december and february-april stats had him as 7th in sv% in the same comparison

 

Using all of his stats in the regular season he was 21st in sv% for goalies starting 20 or more.

 

In GAA he was 7th in goalies starting 20 or more.  He was 4th if you take out January and his one November start.  

 

Overall he went back to his 2014-15 and 15-16 numbers. His 16-17 and 17-18 seasons numbers were .7 GAA higher at 3.03 and a .02 percent lower sv % at .901.  

 

Which goalie would we get next season?  14-15, 15-16, and 18-19 Mrazek or 16-17 and 17-18 Mrazek?

Edited by gocanes0506

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15 minutes ago, cc said:

If nowhere else-  On this forum for sure. LOL

it should be in plenty of places.

 

If bring back both- what do we do with Ned?  I bet he waits to see what we do with the other 2 before he signs. Reaction: Why would we keep the AHL's best goalie down?

Bring back Mrazek and bring up Ned- we are playing two similar goalies and make opposing scouting / game plans a lot easier. Reaction: Why would do that?  (Forslund isnt keen on it too)

Bring back Mac and bring up Ned- Reaction: Are we really not bringing back our best goalie in 5 years?  What is the management thinking?

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Sad news for Mongo: social media reports his father passed away suddenly last night 

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11 minutes ago, gocanes0506 said:

There isnt a right answer.  

Tracking Petr's season:

October 7 starts, .888 sv %, GAA 2.58

November 1 start .84 sv%, 3.92

December 8 starts, .92 sv%, 2.43 (1 shutout)

January 7 starts, .875 sv%, 3.29 

February 7 starts .929 sv%,  1.90 GAA (2 shutouts)

March 8 starts, .931 sv%, 1.98 (1 shutout)

April 11 starts, .92 sv%, 2.03 (1 shutout)

I agree-  Isolating his stats by month can be misleading.  In the 1st half of the year the team had obviously not gelled and as a team it is a tale of two halves.

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Just now, spyglass88 said:

Is there a video or audio link for today's press conference?

Not sure but DW said he wants to bring both goalies back

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Tracking McE's season:

Month, Starts, SV% GAA

Oct 4, .884, , 2.75

Nov ,6 .938, 1.66

Dec 4, .903, 2.51

Jan 4, .878, 3.50

Feb 6, .955, 1.90 (2 SO)

Mar 8, .878, 3.53 (SJ Game hurts)

Apr 1 (2 gms), .951, 1.5

May 4, .915, 2.31

 

28th in Sv% & 17th in GAA (starting >20)

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35 minutes ago, AWACSooner said:

Sad news for Mongo: social media reports his father passed away suddenly last night 

This is sad news. Bummer. Guy just has had a rough go at it.

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32 minutes ago, gocanes0506 said:

There isnt a right answer.  

Tracking Petr's season:

October 7 starts, .888 sv %, GAA 2.58

November 1 start .84 sv%, 3.92

December 8 starts, .92 sv%, 2.43 (1 shutout)

January 7 starts, .875 sv%, 3.29 

February 7 starts .929 sv%,  1.90 GAA (2 shutouts)

March 8 starts, .931 sv%, 1.98 (1 shutout)

April 11 starts, .92 sv%, 2.03 (1 shutout)

May 2 starts, .806 sv%, 3.26 

 

2 minutes ago, gocanes0506 said:

Tracking McE's season:

Month, Starts, SV% GAA

Oct 4, .884, , 2.75

Nov ,6 .938, 1.66

Dec 4, .903, 2.51

Jan 4, .878, 3.50

Feb 6, .955, 1.90 (2 SO)

Mar 8, .878, 3.53 (SJ Game hurts)

Apr 1 (2 gms), .951, 1.5

May 4, .915, 2.31

 

when you look at the two sets of stats together:

 

October was pretty even for the goalie, the team did do well defensively in October. Went 6-6 in October. The 6 games we won we scored, 3, 8, 5, 5, 3, and 3.  Which is understandable when we averaged giving up 2.6 goals a game.

November went 6-4-3. We won game where we scored under 3 goals.  Of the 3 goal games we won one in OT (scored 2 in regulation), lost one in OT, and lost one in a shootout.  The offense didnt help the team this month.  Darling hurt it.  Darling went 2-3-1 but only gave up less than 3, once. 

December 4-9-1. Actually had 6 games of 3 or more goals but lost one and one we lost in a shootout.  Got shutout 3 times this month and only scored 1 goal 4 times that month.

January 8-3-1. Goalies had Darling like months in January.  We scored 3 or more 8 times this month., not coincidentally all the wins.  Did have one OTL when we scored 2.

February 10-3. 11 times we scored 3 or more, one loss to Calgary.  Had 4 shutouts in the month. The 4 shutouts really helped the GAA and Sv% in this month as we had 4 times of letting in 3 or more.

March 9-6-1. McE didnt do well in his time in March altough the SJ game really hurts his numbers for the whole month.  9 times scoring 3 or more (1 loss and 1 OT loss).  

April 3-0.  Scored 3 or more all three.  Only allow 5 goals total.  

 

of the games we scored 2 or less we went 3-27-2.  We went 42-6-5 when scoring 3 or more.  Solid goal tending and defense.

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As I was looking through stuff on Kevin Hayes I got into hits. 

 

One of the committee missions was to make us tougher and harder to play against. It is interesting to see some things about hits, but the most notable is that the incoming guys did indeed hit. As we look at losing Ferland, he was, in fact the team leader in hits/game played, and was #23 in hits for forwards, and #34 in hits for all players. (hit/game min 40 games). Martinook and Jordan were next. And then...DeHaan and Dougie. Really those were our big hitters, with McGinn, Foegele and Faulk decent. 

 

What do those bold names have in common? All brought in last year. Note below. Other than McKegg, everyone new this year is an above average hitter, and really all of those are well above average.

 

Here is the list of hitters with the median for NHL forwards or D men:

 

Ferland #23 forward (195 median, 394 total) 2.6 hits/game

DeHaan #12 D man (97 median, 195 total) 2.5 hits/game

Staal #30 (195 median) 2.4 hits/g

Martinook #31 (195 median) 2.4 hits/g

Hamilton #38 (97 median), 2.0 hits/g

Faulk #42 (97 median) 1.9 hits/g

McGinn #90 (195 med) 1.7 hits/g

Foegele #95 (195 med) 1.6 hits/g

Svech #115 (195 med) 1.5 hits/g

 

Nino #163 (195 med) 1.1 hits/g

Wallmark #190 (195) 1.0 hits/g

 

Slavin #143 (97 median) 0.9 hits/game

Aho #249 (195 median) 0.8 hits/game

Pesce #161 (97 median) 0.7 hits/game

McKegg #260 (195 median) 0.7 hits/game

J Williams #282 (195 median) 0.7 hits/game

TVR #180 (97 median) 0.5 hits/game

Teravainen #343 (195 median) 0.4 hits/game

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Player stuff from today

Quote

 

2 hours ago

GM Don Waddell said he'll reach out to Sebastian Aho's agent in the coming days to reassess a contract extension. "I truly believe that we should be able to figure this out in a relatively short time frame."

GM Don Waddell said the team's goal is to bring both Petr Mrazek and Curtis McElhinney back into the fold.

 

 

Quote

 

2 hours ago

Waddell says Canes looking to extend Faulk contract

Waddell says no decision on whether Darling's contract will be bought out.

Waddell says goal is to bring back both Mrazek and McElhinney


 

 

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Coach stuff

Quote

 

2 hours ago

Rod Brind’Amour on whether he’ll try to be involved in Justin Williams’ decision-making process: “I hope I don’t have to. But I might.”

2 hours ago

Brind'Amour says he'd like to keep the group together.

2 hours ago

Rod Brind'Amour: "We've established ourselves as a hard-working team. We're not going to sneak up on anybody in that department."

 

 

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I wonder if we hold out buying out Darling until the 2nd buyout period.

 

It allows us more time to negotiate with M&M in getting a new contract (due to the CBA requirement of 3 goalies being on contract) and since his father just passed give the guy some time.

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Quote

 

2 hours ago Waddell on the goalies Petr Mrazek and Curtis McElhinney, ”Our goal would be to bring both of them back if we could.” Says they will reach out for contract talks to their agents soon.

Waddell also said that Alex Nedeljkovic is gaining valuable experience with . Said this year proved how you need goaltending depth. Also said Mrazek & McElhinney are free agents so a lot will depend on them

Don Waddell on the structure in the front office. “I think it’s working. I don’t see any reason why we should change it.”

Brind’Amour says he thinks he’ll be a better coach two-three years from now, then he joked if he’s still here. To which made Don Waddell chuckle and give a solid eye-roll. .

 

 

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2 minutes ago, AWACSooner said:

We like our group ;)

It somehow sounds better this year than it did last year

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If we are truly looking at keeping Faulk, which I am less than excited about, are we moving Hamilton then? 

 

CDH is more than likely going to miss the opening couple of weeks.  TVR might make it back may not.  We have Fleury and Bean cover down until then. 

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The deal with Aho's  Contract .   Does he have another gear  that Brind'Amour says  Aho  have or  has Aho plateaued ?  Im  asking this   because it does depend how much  the Canes are going to spend on him to keep him happy  and  for how long ?  We all saw what  toronto  did with Mathews and  edmonton  did with Mcdavid   and obviously  Aho is  not at those two level in skill  ,  but is that a question for  is he not there yet  or will he stay at where he is at  when talking the pure amount .   The Canes  Future depends a ton on what the canes could possibly pay the man .  Because it then leads into questions for other players and how much they would be asking for . 

Edited by Canesfanforever

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2 hours ago, AWACSooner said:

Sad news for Mongo: social media reports his father passed away suddenly last night 

Whose saying this?

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37 minutes ago, legend-1 said:

Whose saying this?

Seeing posts on the Canes Facebook fan group.

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