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The Official Site of the Carolina Hurricanes
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iceboy

Historical Series Info

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Based on this historical data, there is a 78% chance that the Eastern Conference finals will be the Carolina Hurricanes vs the Pittsburgh Penguins.

This is not intended as a personal prediction or an effort to mess with mojo or karma. This is a statistical probability, based on historic data.

I'll leave it at that.

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That is a really cool site. Interesting to note that the statistical chance of two evenly matched teams having a team win three in a row to close it out would be 6.25%. Historically in the first round of the NHL playoffs, a team down 3-1 has come back over 10% of the time. In the second round through the finals, a team down 3-1 has only come back less than 5% of the time.

This makes sense, as two teams in the second round through the finals are more likely to be an even match. Whereas two teams in the first round are more likely to be a situation where a heavy favorite has come out flat footed to start the series against a lesser foe.

I wonder what the statistical chance a team has of winning a series when they are down a goal with two minutes left in game seven? Ha Ha!!!

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That whowins site is cool. According to the site, the Miracle at Molson was less likely than the game 7 stunner vs. NJ:

"In the 2455 NHL best-of-7 playoff games from 1939 through 2001, when a team such as the Hurricanes trailed by a goal with only 1:30 left in regulation, its game record was 27-697 (.037). " Now, this doesn't take into account what game of the series it is, so maybe you lower the odds a little. And we did it in regulation, so maybe lower them more.

But here's what they say about the 2002 Montreal game:

"In the 2455 best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2001, when the road team (Carolina) trailed by three goals with 16:04 left in regulation, its game record was 1-208 (.005) -- only the St. Louis Blues had won a best-of-7 playoff game on the road in such a situation, over Los Angeles in Game 3 of series 755 (in the 1998 NHL Preliminary round)."

Less than 1/2 of 1 percent that the Miracle happens. Wow. Like I said, cool site.

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